CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-09-09T01:25:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-09-09T01:25ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/33264/-1
CME Note: Large, bright lightbulb CME to the west in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source appears to be a long duration M1.0 flare from AR13806 (~S05W89). Moving/opening field lines are visible in SDO/AIA 171 and 193 starting around 2024-09-09T00:24Z along the western limb with post-eruptive arcades visible starting around 2024-09-09T02:24Z. The eruption is also visible in GOES SUVI before an eclipse occurs and in STEREO A EUVI 304 and 195 imagery.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-09-11T15:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -2837.93 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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